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COVID-19 – An emergency rescue package summary

A submission to the government on what an emergency rescue package for South Africa should entail in its response to the crisis caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. The IEJ proposes a R 410 billion rescue package to fund the healthcare system and support workers and small businesses.

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COVID-19 – An emergency rescue package for South Africa

As a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, South Africa's real GDP for 2020 is forecast to fall by 10 %, with accompanying job losses of up to 1 million jobs. Government's rescue package of R41 billion is clearly insufficient. This Policy Brief provides a detailed emergency rescue package for the South African economy more in-line with global best practise and the needs of the South African economy. Costing estimates and funding sources are discussed.

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Fiscal policy in South Africa: closed input-output income and employment multipliers

This paper estimates income and employment multipliers for South Africa, based on a closed input-output model for the year 2018. Our results are in line with the literature on fiscal multipliers in South Africa and apply to the current conditions of high unemployment, economic stagnation and a negative output gap. Based on our estimates, we predict that the fiscal belt-tightening proposed in South Africa's 2020 Budget, will reinforce the slow growth of the South African economy and augment the already high rate of unemployment.

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