Climate Finance Working Paper | Monetary Policy and a Just Transition

Leveraging Monetary Policy to Support the Transitional Needs of South African Workers

South Africa’s Just Energy Transition Partnership (JETP) aims to mobilise $8.5 billion over three to five years to support the country’s climate goals. However, the current focus on electricity infrastructure overlooks the urgent need for economic diversification and job creation. To achieve a just transition, climate finance mobilisation must prioritise sectors like renewable manufacturing, affordable housing, and adaptation infrastructure, which can create sustainable jobs and address inequality.

The JETP, a collaboration between South Africa and international partners, relies heavily on private sector investment. Yet, this model risks sidelining workers’ needs. Large-scale climate finance mobilisation is essential to redirect resources towards labour-intensive industries and ensure a fair transition for all.

South Africa’s financial system holds untapped potential. By reallocating just 10% of bank lending towards developmental projects, approximately R52.41 billion could be unlocked. Additionally, the retirement industry, with its vast liquidity, could contribute significantly if offshore investment limits were adjusted. A return to a 30% offshore limit could free up R600 billion for onshore investments, including renewable energy and housing projects.

To achieve this, South Africa needs a promotional approach to central banking, fostering collaboration between the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) and the National Treasury. This would align monetary policy with green industrial strategies, ensuring that climate finance mobilisation supports both economic growth and environmental sustainability.